planned
Stress-test the causal chain from intervention to outcome.
Most proposals carry a chain like intervention → mechanism → near-term outcome → long-term value. Each link can be wrong. theory_of_change walks the chain with the proposal, flags weak links, surfaces missing assumptions, and steelmans both the proposal and its critics.
Catches what bandwidth-limited human review misses — especially the assumptions that read as obvious to the proposer and the reviewer because they share a worldview.